Why Exponential Predictions are Always Wrong - Population, Technology and Resources
I’ve written on the ways that cognitive bias can derail rational thinking, but there’s another major pathway to error — we get the numbers wrong.
An exploration of science, faith, and philosophy. Join George Gantz on this spiral journey as he inquires into topics at the intersection of scientific knowledge, human experience and spiritual insight, in the effort to understand, to grow, to change and to make the future a better place. Explore a diverse collection of essays, posts and videos.
I’ve written on the ways that cognitive bias can derail rational thinking, but there’s another major pathway to error — we get the numbers wrong.
Science has been losing its mojo. Two generations ago, scientists were revered as truth tellers and bringers of progress. Today, science is often viewed as fallible, obscure and, in some cases, untrustworthy.