Why Exponential Predictions are Always Wrong - Population, Technology and Resources
I’ve written on the ways that cognitive bias can derail rational thinking, but there’s another major pathway to error — we get the numbers wrong.
Writer, philosopher, and creator of SpiralInquiry.org, an exploration of Science, Faith and Philosophy. Fellow of the RSA, Board Member of long Now Boston.
I’ve written on the ways that cognitive bias can derail rational thinking, but there’s another major pathway to error — we get the numbers wrong.
Science has been losing its mojo. Two generations ago, scientists were revered as truth tellers and bringers of progress. Today, science is often viewed as fallible, obscure and, in some cases, untrustworthy.